If he is bluffing or semi-bluffing he would either bluff again or fold to your bet on the river almost always. With his turn bet he is saying that he is representing a least a queen if betting for value. If you see it from villains perspective it is of course no reason to raise if they can't beat a good queen since they can't be called by worse.Īgainst a thinking player I would therefore often check the river. Most unbalanced players under 100NL will however show you a boat when they raise this river.Īlso: when you call the flop and the turn and then donks the river big - that is like you are saying that you have trips or better. If they almost never bluff here: not much (you called with AQ but would you call with KQ or QJ?).īut to repeat myself: since you wrote balanced player I guess you are near the top of your range and if you start folding so strong hands against a raise a good player would bluff you off almost everything. It's more about what can they get called with if they raise.
It not so much that they don't think they have the best hand with a good queen here (AQ and maybe KQ). This shows you how important reads are in poker still.īecause I know a lot of player that would NEVER raise this paired board without a full house. I suppose you by that mean that he can raise a big river bet with some buffs? You wrote that the villain plays a balanced strategy.
